My right bag has a tendancy to come open. regardless of if it's locked. I have since bent the tab secured to the bag itself to engage deeper with the tab located on the lid, as well as giving the lid a little jiggle to ensure that both front and rear latches are fully engaged. I actually lost my rainsuit out of my bag the second time it came open.
Ive ridden a bagger with 10,000 miles and my new one with 0 miles ive noticed as they get used more and more they tend to open up going down the road. I lock mine all the time know cuz they just seem to get wore out (broke in) as time goes on.
I have had mine pop completely open and other people have told me that this has happened to them also. I now keep them locked. The few seconds it takes is worth me not having to worry about it.
+2 on the retaining strap. I actually took my strap off to iron and starch the heck out it. Then put the strap back on. The starch stiffend it up so it doesn't fold and get caught between the lid and bag. Seems to be working so far.