I'd almost take that bet...! Until I see our gov come up with a way to make up the tax/income they currently get off fossil fuel I just don't see any other alternative fuel making big traction. Sure there will be EV's and what not just like there is now, but until big oil and gov figure out a way to appease each other, fossil fuel isn't going anywhere anytime soon. I've been listening to people say this same thing for the past 10 years already. EVs aren't making any huge traction.

Sales of plug-in passenger cars achieved a 2.1% market share of new car sales in 2018, up from 1.3% in 2017, and 0.86% in 2016.

So if you take that, that's not even 1%/Year. So in the next two decades at that rate that would be around 25% EV's.... So even if you double that... That's 50% EVs...So ya.. I'd almost take that bet. That just is not a rapid rate of growth.

 

...the local HD dealership that is a "LiveWire" specialist, I guess just installed there LW charging station. One thing is a fact, the longer they take to charge, the longer people will be inside the HD dealership spending $$$ on motorclothes, accessories, etc.

...wonder if there is going to be Stage 1, Stage 2, etc. on those things?

 

Get used to it folks, efficient electric vehicles are the future and you don`t have to like it. But they are coming and you can`t stop it.

 

Efficient electric vehicles will be an option for sure. They will not be the future. I'm not saying fossil fuel will be around forever, but EV's won't be the sole future vehicle. No Way.
Until you can pull your EV into a charging station every 100-200 miles or whatever and fully charge it in the same amount of time or less then what it takes to fill a tank of gas. Not happening.
Cars are not the sole fossil fuel vehicle today. They going to make a Boeing 787 an EV? What are they replacing that fossil fuel with? What about all the diesel semi's, tractors, dossers, back hoes etc.. etc.. they have a LONG way to go before it's the "future". Maybe someday, but not in my lifetime.

 

I never said EV`s will be the SOLE future vehicle.

 

 

I get your point. But where is coal? Industries go away. Will it, dunno.

I do agree. You need to charge it in same time. Can't have a back up of people waiting.

But technology progresses. Look at cordless tools. We got chainsaws and mowers. I have little doubt the range will dramatically increase.

The idea of no maintenance other than repairs is something. Not know, but I am not saying never.

200 mile cars are already selling, it works for many people. It would for many in the r cruiser market too, if they are honest.

Price is an issue. But Harleys were never cheap.

 

As someone who practiced medicine for 40 years (and then went back to school for an electrical engineering degree to help develop medical lasers), this drivel doesn't deserve a considered response.

Oh, but you're wrong. EVs are indeed the future, if for no other reason that, at very worst, they're TWICE as efficient at converting energy into propulsion. Pollution from generating electricity? Well, point source pollution from a powerplant is much easier to deal with than millions of mobile point sources burning 60 million year old stored liquid sunlight at 25% efficiency-not to mention the hundreds of moving parts that need to be manufactured and assembled into an ICE. Oh, and BTW, ranges on most automotive EV are well over 200 miles-Today.

Airplanes? There are battery powered general aviation airplanes on the market today, and plans on the drawing board for electric airliners (natural gas powered turbines turning generators turning electric motors turning fans or props).

We will see electric semis on the highways in the next five years, guaranteed, and soon after just about everything else that needs to move. The SOLE disadvantage of electric versus ICE propulsion is energy storage, and not only are batteries getting better on an almost daily basis, but workarounds like fossil fuels turning generators turning electric motors (think diesel-electric locomotives).

And as far as governments making up the lost revenue from fuel taxes? Well, we all know that governments aren't very efficient at very much, but they ARE efficient at extracting lucre from their citizens. Not to worry.

 

EV's have been around since the 1800's and as of 2018 to date make up 2% of all auto sales... 2%..! Yep, they will be an option just as they have been since the 1800's. I never said ICE will be the future, I think something along the lines of hydrogen or some other form of gas where you can pull in, swap out a tank and keep going. Time will tell! Just as you said... "General Purpose" airplanes... Niche market... Just like the Livewire, niche market. I'll simply agree to disagree... As I said.. Time will tell, we'll all eventually see what the future holds.